Harry Kane is still a major contender for the 2026 Ballon d’Or, with odds of 9/4 as of July 13, 2026, trailing only Kylian Mbappe and Lionel Messi. The England captain’s 61 goals in 2025-26 and six World Cup strikes have cemented his place in the race for football’s top individual prize.
What happened at the 2026 World Cup?
Kylian Mbappe has surged to favoritism (15/8) after leading France to the semi-finals with five goals, matching Messi’s tournament tally. Messi, at 39, has defied age with eight World Cup goals, shrinking his odds to 6/1. Kane’s six goals have propelled England to the last four, where they’ll face Argentina.
Why Kane’s season matters
Kane’s 2025-26 campaign was historic: 36 Bundesliga goals, a third straight Golden Boot, and a DFB-Pokal hat-trick final. His 61 goals in 51 games for Bayern Munich—paired with Michael Olise and Luis Díaz—showed his lethal form. Though PSG ended Bayern’s Champions League run, Kane’s consistency keeps him in the Ballon d’Or conversation.
Who else is in the mix?
Ousmane Dembele, the 2025 winner, has resurged at 6/1 after a Champions League final goal and five World Cup strikes, including a hat-trick. Michael Olise, Kane’s Bayern teammate, is also gaining attention for his dazzling displays.
What’s next for Kane?
Kane’s next test is England’s World Cup semi-final against Argentina on July 16, 2026. A victory could boost his Ballon d’Or chances, especially if he outshines Messi. With Bayern’s season over, Kane’s focus is now on leading England to glory—and potentially their first Ballon d’Or winner since Michael Owen in 2001.